For the second time this season, I completed a flawless week in my football picks. Not to toot my own horn or anything, but I’m pretty dang impressed with myself.
We begin October with two region matchups between Montgomery County schools, five region matchups total and five games being played in the county, giving football fans several options to choose from.
Let’s do this.
Clarksville Wildcats (1-3, 0-2) at Northeast Eagles (3-1, 3-0)
This may very well end up being the game of the year in the city.
After taking a close loss at Rossview, Northeast rebounded with an absolute trouncing of the West Creek Coyotes last week, proving that they are entirely capable of being the upper-echelon team we thought they could be. Their opponent this week is certainly a step up from that of last, though.
But by how much? CHS is a far cry from the squad that won a postseason game last season, having departed much of their starting lineups on both sides of the ball -- and their record demonstrates that. After being crushed by Henry County, they went on the road and took a devastating final-minute loss against Dyer County, putting them in an 0-2 hole. The No. 4 seed in Region 7-5A is still wide open, but they need to start winning now if they want to remain in the race as they’ll only have three more games after this one.
Conversely, the Eagles can all but lock up a playoff spot by beating CHS.
It’s clear who the better team here is, but with Clarksville having one of the best coaching staffs in the city and a huge incentive to win, I don’t see this one being totally one-sided.
Prediction: Northeast 22, Clarksville 14
No. 9 Mt. Juliet Golden Bears (5-0, 2-0) at Rossview Hawks (3-1, 1-1)
Mt. Juliet is one of the top teams in Middle Tennessee and for good reason. They’ve completely run the table so far, getting wins over fellow powerhouses Stewarts Creek, Gallatin and Wilson Central. They have to be feeling good coming off a shutout of Spring Hill.
I expect them to win this football game, but the Hawks are a dangerous team. They’re undefeated when head coach Todd Hood is on the sideline and have allowed only 6.0 points per game in their last three contests. That defense is no joke and if Garrett Diemel and his top weapons Parker Kirkpatrick, Diivonte Phillips and Aaron Bolster can put it together on Friday, the Golden Bears could absolutely be on upset alert.
That said, there is a clear favorite in this game.
Prediction: Mt. Juliet 24, Rossview 7
Kenwood Knights (1-3, 1-2) at West Creek Coyotes (1-3, 0-2)
Last Friday night was not a good night to be a Peachers Mill school.
Both the Knights and Coyotes were destroyed on their own turfs by regional foes and both should be starving coming into this game against their down-the-road rivals.
The difference between West Creek and Kenwood is that one of them has already showcased their ability to win big. KHS completely dismantled Northwest two weeks ago, and the confidence boost from a win like that can roll over as a reminder that they are capable of winning these games. On the other hand, West Creek barely scraped past a bad Cheatham County Central team for their only win.
West Creek could be down a few key players as Verron Greene and Ty’Kease Blanton both sustained injuries in their loss to Northeast. If they’re unable to go, this game might not be close. If Kenwood wins like I expect them too, they’re right back in the thick of a postseason race for the second straight season and West Creek is likely dead in the water.
Prediction: Kenwood 40, West Creek 21
Dyer County Choctaws (3-1, 1-1) at Northwest Vikings (1-3, 1-1)
The Vikings’ season really ended when quarterback Ryan Silverstrim went down with a year-ending injury, but we’re really coming up on the true end of their run.
After being completely wiped by Kenwood, they came back out last week and were embarrassed by Summit, who is admittedly a far superior team than almost anyone else in the region.
Regardless, Northwest cannot be feeling good right now. Not only are they coming off back-to-back beatdowns, but they’re also completely quarterbackless. Props to head coach Neil Furnish for trying to get creative with the offense, but with another quality opponent on the docket, things are looking grim.
Prediction: Dyer County 35, Northwest 0
Greenbrier Bobcats (2-2, 1-2) at Montgomery Central Indians (3-1, 1-1)
It’s easy to tell just by looking at the team records just how important this one will be in the Region 5-4A race.
With Creek Wood and Springfield seemingly destined for the top two seeds and White House Heritage in good position behind them, this game is the beginning of a do-or-die stretch for both of these programs.
Greenbrier has been inconsistent this season, not stringing together a winning or losing streak longer than a single game. What has been consistent, though, is that all of their contests have been low-scoring. Same goes for the Indians.
From what I’ve seen of both of these teams this season, Montgomery Central is the better football team. Having the home field advantage and an extra week off before this game due to Harpeth having to cancel for COVID-19 concerns gives them a leg up on Greenbrier. If they can come out ahead of the Bobcats, they’ll be in good position to make the postseason.
Prediction: Montgomery Central 21, Greenbrier 7
Clarksville Academy Cougars (1-4, 1-3) at No. 20 Davidson Academy Bears (5-0, 3-0)
Like Northwest, the Cougars are in a difficult position. Though they have two quarterbacks instead of zero, they haven’t truly been able to conjure an identity for themselves and it’s left them without an on-field win this season.
To their credit, they’ve had some close games against Grace Christian-Franklin and Trinity Christian. The problem is that they’ve been completely incapable of hanging with the good teams, sustaining blowouts against Jackson Christian and Nashville Christian.
Unfortunately for them, Davidson Academy is what you’d call a “good team.”
If Nashville Christian beat the Cougars by 40 but lost to the Bears by 35, then what could I possibly say about this game in terms of CA’s hopes?
I truly don’t want to be so negative here. There’s just not really a scenario in which Clarksville Academy can win this game. I hope I’m wrong.
Prediction: Davidson Academy 52, Clarksville Academy 0